EUR/USD rose sharply to near 1.0300 in Monday's European session. The major currency pair gains as the safe-haven appeal of the US Dollar (USD) diminishes ahead of United States (US) President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against six major currencies, declines to near 109.00.
The Greenback faces pressure as investors digest the assumption that Trump will declare a national emergency soon after taking office. This move would allow him to boost domestic energy production and reverse some climate change policies executed under Joe Biden's administration, Bloomberg reported.
Also, a report from Fox News Digital shows that Trump would sign over 200 orders on his first day of office, which might include policies such as immigration controls, tax cuts, and higher import tariffs. The impact of these policies will be favorable for the US Dollar as investors expect them to boost growth and inflationary pressures in the United States (US). The scenario will allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates at their current levels for longer.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders expect the Fed to keep borrowing rates in the current range of 4.25%-4.50% in the next three policy meetings. On the contrary, analysts at Morgan Stanley expect that the Fed could cut interest rates in March as the underlying inflation decelerated in December. Last week, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for December showed that core inflation – which excludes volatile food and energy prices – rose at a slower pace of 3.2% year-over-year.
Source: FXStreet
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