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Gold plunges below $3,350 as Powell pushes back on rate cuts
Wednesday, 25 June 2025 03:15 WIB | GOLD |GOLD

Gold price tumbled below $3,350 on Tuesday amid broad US Dollar weakness, as US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pushed back against reducing borrowing costs, reiterating that the impact of tariffs on inflation remains uncertain. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,315, down over 1.50%.

Bullion prices had recovered some ground, even though Powell was hawkish at his testimony at the US House of Representatives. He said that rates are modestly restrictive, acknowledging that if inflation pressures are contained, the central bank could cut rates.

Aside from this, the de-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East between Iran and Israel prompted investors to move away from haven assets, as depicted by the three major indices in the United States posting gains of more than 1% each.

Other data revealed that China's central bank loosened monetary policy and injected liquidity into the markets. In the US, Consumer Confidence unexpectedly deteriorated in June, according to the Conference Board.

Ahead this week, the US economic docket will feature further Fed speakers, led by Chair Jerome Powell's appearance at the US Senate on Wednesday. On the data front, Durable Goods Orders, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures and Initial Jobless Claims are eyed.

Gold price pulls back amid weak US Dollar, falling US yields
Gold prices suffered substantial losses as the markets cheered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. US President Donald Trump posted on his social network that "Both Israel and Iran wanted to stop the War, equally! It was my great honor to Destroy All Nuclear facilities & capabilities, and then, STOP THE WAR!"

Bullion failed to print gains despite the decline in US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar. The US 10-year Treasury note is yielding 4.30%, falling four basis points (bps). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the Buck's value against a basket of six peers, is also down 0.56% at 97.79.

The CB revealed that Consumer Confidence in June came at 93.0, down from 98.0 a month ago and also missed forecasts of 100. "The decline was broad-based across components, with consumers' assessments of the present situation and their expectations for the future both contributing to the deterioration," said Stephanie Guichard, senior economist for global indicators at the Conference Board.

Further Fed speakers crossed the wires. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said that she sees rates "on hold for quite some time," even though the latest inflation readings are encouraging. New York Fed John Williams commented that tariffs will boost inflation to 3% this year and expects inflation to reach the 2% goal in 2026. Furthermore, it was added that the economy will grow at a slower pace, though it will not be tipped into a recession.

On Monday, US Flash PMIs remained in expansionary territory, suggesting that the economy remains solid. Next week, traders will be watching the release of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) figures for June.

Money markets suggest that traders are pricing in 58 basis points of easing toward the end of the year, according to Prime Market Terminal data.

Source: Fxstreet

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