Initial jobless claims in the US fell by 6,000 from the previous week to 216,000 on the period ending November 22nd, a third consecutive drop to tie the lowest level since February, and below market expectations of an increase to 225,000. In the meantime, continuing claims tose by 7,000 from the downwardly revised value in the first week of November. The results continued to reflect a low magnitude of new unemployment claims in the US economy, although elevated levels of outstanding insurance suggest a slowdown in hiring. Initial claims filed by former employees of the Federal government...
Deutsche Bank forecasts the U.S. dollar will weaken approximately 6% on a trade-weighted basis by the end of 2026, according to a new report released by the bank's foreign exchange strategists. The bank's analysis indicates that the "Trump shock" to the dollar has concluded, but several fundamental factors still point to dollar weakness ahead. These include current valuations, balance-of-payments dynamics, and monetary-policy cycles, which collectively support a bearish outlook for the greenback. Deutsche Bank specifically highlights the widening U.S. current account deficit as a key...
Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday (November 27) that a draft outline of a peace proposal being discussed by the United States and Ukraine could form the basis of a future agreement to end the conflict in Ukraine, but that if not, Russia would continue fighting. US President Donald Trump has long said he wants to end the war in Ukraine, Europe's deadliest conflict since World War II, but his efforts so far, including a summit with President Vladimir Putin in Alaska in August, have not yielded peace. A leaked 28-point US peace plan emerged last week, alarming Ukrainian and...
Trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was halted on Friday (November 28th) following a cooling issue at one of its data centers. "Due to a cooling issue at the CyrusOne data center, our markets are currently suspended," a CME spokesperson said in an emailed statement early Friday morning. "Our support team is working to resolve this issue and will update clients with pre-open details as soon as they are available." The CME the world's largest exchange operator by market value trades futures and options contracts for a variety of asset classes, including agricultural commodities,...
US President Donald Trump has rekindled economic debate after stating that his administration could eliminate the income tax entirely and replace it with revenue from import tariffs. According to Trump, increasing tariffs on foreign goods could generate significant government revenue, making it a primary source of federal revenue without burdening citizens with income taxes. This statement immediately drew scrutiny from economists and market participants. Some considered the idea overly ambitious, given that income taxes are one of the US government's largest sources of revenue. Relying on...