The Hang Seng Index reversed its downward trend in Hong Kong on Thursday (February 12th), weakening by around 0.9% to around 27,000 after a strong session earlier. This decline halted the momentum of the short term rally, as investors began to reduce risk in large cap stocks. Among the index's contributors, Tencent was a major drag, with its shares falling by around 2.3%, putting pressure on the technology sector, which has recently been a driving force behind market gains. Weakness in large cap companies like this typically quickly impacts sentiment due to their significant weighting in...
Gold retains bullish bias amid economic risks, dovish Fed, weaker USDUS President Donald Trump threatened on Tuesday to terminate trade with China in cooking oil and other products in response to the latter's decision not to purchase US soybeans. China also announced new special port fees for US ships arriving in Chinese ports and enhanced restrictions on the export of rare earths. This marks a significant escalation of the trade war between the world's two largest economies. Adding to this, geopolitical risks and concerns that the US government could affect the economic performance drive...
The U.S. currency slipped lower following a speech by Jerome Powell on Tuesday, in which the Federal Reserve chair left the door open to further rate cuts by saying the U.S. labor market remained in the doldrums. Markets are currently priced for a quarter-point cut at the October 28-29 Fed gathering and another at the following meeting in December, followed by three more cuts next year, according to LSEG data. "Risk sentiment improved throughout Tuesday – boosted by strong U.S. bank earnings – before Powell's speech added dovish-sounding headlines: slower payrolls, tolerable inflation, and...
Silver climbed back above $52 per ounce on Wednesday, holding close to record highs hit in the prior session as a global supply crunch fueled a historic rally. Tightness was most acute in the London market, where a short squeeze sent lease rates surging over 30% on Friday, driving rollover costs for short positions to unsustainable levels. Demand from India has further strained supply, prompting several mutual fund houses to suspend inflows into their silver ETF fund-of-fund schemes. Meanwhile, dovish remarks from Fed Chair Powell, who pointed to labor market weakness, strengthened bets on...
The Australian dollar strengthened against the US dollar on Wednesday, recouping the previous session's losses. This boost came from comments by RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter: recent data appeared slightly stronger than expected, Q3 inflation is likely higher, the labor market and economic conditions could be tighter than assumed, and the board is prepared to adjust policy accordingly—although she acknowledged consumer momentum could weaken in Q3. The AUD's movement was also influenced by China's inflation release: September CPI -0.3% YoY (expected -0.1%; August -0.4%) with monthly...
Oil prices stabilized after hitting a 5-month low. WTI hovered near $59/barrel and Brent around $62, indicating the market remains hesitant after the previous sharp decline. The IEA predicts an unprecedented oversupply: by 2026, global supply could exceed demand by ~4 million barrels per day. This glut outlook weighed on sentiment, and some Wall Street banks see a return to the $50s. On the geopolitical front, US–China tensions have flared again: Beijing imposed sanctions on the US unit of a Korean shipping giant, sparking fears of retaliation. However, USTR Jamieson Greer believes export...