Strong evidence of a cooling US labor market rippled through Wall Street, spurring a rally in bonds as traders boosted their bets the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December. A slide in megacaps dragged down stocks. With the scarcity of data caused by the federal shutdown, investors have turned to private readings such as the Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. report showing companies announced the most job cuts for any October in over 20 years. Following the numbers, money markets now imply an about 60% chance of a...
Gold price (XAU/USD) stages a goodish intraday bounce from a three-week low, around the $2,972-2,971 region, touched during the Asian session on Monday – and spikes to a fresh daily high, around the $3,055 area in the last hour. Data published earlier today showed that the People's Bank of China (PBOC) increased its state Gold reserves for the fifth consecutive month. Adding to this, the prevalent risk-off mood, recession fears, bets that a tariffs-driven US economic slowdown might force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle soon, and geopolitical risks act as a tailwind...
AUD/USD is off the five-year low but remains heavy near 0.6000 in the Asian session on Monday. The pair continues to suffer from a US-China trade war as US President Trump said that he would not do a deal with China until the US trade deficit was sorted out. Analysts at ANZ Bank expect the RBA to cut interest rates in all the next three policy meetings in May, July, and August. Additionally, the bank also sees the possibility of a larger-than-usual interest rate cut of 50 basis points (bps) in May if global growth deteriorates significantly. In addition to bloating RBA dovish bets, fears of...
Most Asian currencies weakened on Monday, with the dollar also declining amid heightened fears of a U.S. recession and global economic disruptions from U.S. President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. The Chinese yuan retreated after Beijing retaliated against the increased tariffs over the weekend, although apparent intervention by the People's Bank of China limited the yuan's decline. Other Asian currencies weakened sharply as Trump signaled no intent to back down from his plans for sweeping reciprocal tariffs against major global economies. Dollar tests 6-mth lows; Trump doubles down on...
The EUR/USD pair reverses an Asian session dip to the 1.0880 aera and for now, seems to have stalled its retracement slide from the vicinity of mid-1.1100s, or the highest level since September touched last week. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.0960 region, nearly unchanged for the day amid mixed cues. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to capitalize on Friday's recovery from a six-month low and kicks off the new week on a weaker note amid bets that the US economy could enter a recession and force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle. In fact, the markets are now...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) kicks off the new week on a positive note as US President Donald Trump's sweeping reciprocal tariffs raise the risk of a global economic slowdown and continue to underpin traditional safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, concerns that harsher US reciprocal tariffs could negatively impact Japan's economy forced investors to scale back their bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would raise the policy rate at a faster pace. This, in turn, acts as a headwind for the JPY and assists the USD/JPY pair to reverse an Asian session dip back closer to a six-month low – levels below the...