Gold prices held above $4,100/oz on Tuesday (November 11) during the Asian session. This was supported by increasing expectations of a Fed interest rate cut following a series of weak US economic data. On Monday, gold briefly touched a two-week high, while inflows into global gold ETFs in October increased again, providing a more solid basis for demand. The dollar also weakened on hopes of a resolution to the US government shutdown, while the US 10Y yield held near 4.12%, a tame level supporting gold. At the time of this analysis, gold prices were around $4,118. Disclaimer:This article is...
Silver strengthened in the Asian session, supported by a weaker dollar and falling US yields as the market became more confident in the Fed's September rate cut scenario (85–87% probability).This sentiment persisted despite solid US data—Q2 GDP revised to 3.3% and jobless claims falling to 229,000—as concerns about the Fed's independence (Lisa Cook's lawsuit against Trump's impeachment attempt) increased safe-haven demand, boosting precious metals.Looking ahead, the market's primary focus is the July US core PCE release, which is expected to rise 0.3% m/m and around 2.9% y/y. A result above...
Gold prices were stable on Thursday (August 28th), as investors eyed US inflation data due to be released next Friday. The precious metal had previously received support from concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve following President Donald Trump's move to remove Fed Chair Lisa Cook. This action sparked temporary safe-haven demand, although the US dollar recovered from earlier this week's weakness. Market sentiment also highlighted the possibility of a Fed rate cut at its September meeting, which could lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. However, the...
Silver prices rose on Thursday (August 28th), amid growing speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner than expected. Dovish statements by several Fed officials fueled expectations of monetary policy easing, increasing the appeal of precious metals as a hedge. In addition, ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and concerns about a global economic slowdown also supported safe-haven demand. Investors also eyed the latest US economic data, which showed signs of moderating inflation, strengthening bullish sentiment on precious metals, including gold and...
Gold fell to the $3,380 area on Thursday, retreating slightly from a two-week peak ahead of Friday's PCE release (August 29th, WIB), the Fed's inflation benchmark. Political uncertainty—including the controversy surrounding the attempted dismissal of Fed Chair Lisa Cook—kept safe-haven bids, but a rising dollar and stable real yields limited near-term upside. On the policy front, market pricing, which now places an 89% chance of a 25 bps cut in September, has softened the forward rate curve, supporting gold's hold near record levels despite increased volatility. DISCLAIMER Note: This...
Silver hovered around $38,605 during the Asian session on Thursday (August 28th), slightly correcting from the $39.00 area with limited volatility. Intraday, $38.50 serves as the closest support, while $38.90–$39.10 is the area that needs to be broken to restore upward momentum. Fundamentally, concerns over the Fed's independence maintain safe-haven demand, but a stronger USD limits gains. Expectations of a Fed rate cut remain supportive of precious metals, with the focus on Friday's US PCE data. On the industrial demand side, tariff/dealing issues and mixed Chinese data are holding back...