Gold climbed to $4,140–$4,150 as the market grew more confident that the Fed would cut interest rates this year. ADP data showed that US companies lost an average of >11,250 jobs per week, raising the probability of a 25 bps rate cut to 68% (Dec) and 80% (Jan). The impact: Yields and the USD tended to weaken, so the opportunity cost of holding gold decreased. Holding the rally: If today's Fedspeak (Williams, Waller, et al.) is hawkish, gold could hold; if dovish, the rally could continue. Additionally, the final progress of the US shutdown could reduce safe-haven demand when official...
Silver prices are currently declining on Friday (August 29th), as investors show caution ahead of the release of important inflation data from the United States. Pressure on silver also comes from the strengthening US dollar, which is pressuring commodities denominated in that currency. Furthermore, the Fed's interest rate policy is widely expected to limit the price movement of this precious metal in the short term. Nevertheless, expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve interest rate cut remain a key support factor for silver as a safe haven asset and hedge against inflation. Investors...
Gold traded around $3,410 per ounce on Friday (August 29th), nearing its highest level in more than a month and eyeing a second weekly gain. Support came from a weakening US dollar and demand for safe havens amid uncertainty over the direction of US monetary policy. Expectations for a 25-bps Fed rate cut in September strengthened after dovish signals from Governor Christopher Waller, opening the door to further cuts toward a neutral policy stance. The market awaited US personal consumption data due today, while a slightly stronger revision to second-quarter GDP growth fueled inflation...
Silver strengthened in the Asian session, supported by a weaker dollar and falling US yields as the market became more confident in the Fed's September rate cut scenario (85–87% probability).This sentiment persisted despite solid US data—Q2 GDP revised to 3.3% and jobless claims falling to 229,000—as concerns about the Fed's independence (Lisa Cook's lawsuit against Trump's impeachment attempt) increased safe-haven demand, boosting precious metals.Looking ahead, the market's primary focus is the July US core PCE release, which is expected to rise 0.3% m/m and around 2.9% y/y. A result above...
Gold prices were stable on Thursday (August 28th), as investors eyed US inflation data due to be released next Friday. The precious metal had previously received support from concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve following President Donald Trump's move to remove Fed Chair Lisa Cook. This action sparked temporary safe-haven demand, although the US dollar recovered from earlier this week's weakness. Market sentiment also highlighted the possibility of a Fed rate cut at its September meeting, which could lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. However, the...
Silver prices rose on Thursday (August 28th), amid growing speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner than expected. Dovish statements by several Fed officials fueled expectations of monetary policy easing, increasing the appeal of precious metals as a hedge. In addition, ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and concerns about a global economic slowdown also supported safe-haven demand. Investors also eyed the latest US economic data, which showed signs of moderating inflation, strengthening bullish sentiment on precious metals, including gold and...