Gold climbed to $4,140–$4,150 as the market grew more confident that the Fed would cut interest rates this year. ADP data showed that US companies lost an average of >11,250 jobs per week, raising the probability of a 25 bps rate cut to 68% (Dec) and 80% (Jan). The impact: Yields and the USD tended to weaken, so the opportunity cost of holding gold decreased. Holding the rally: If today's Fedspeak (Williams, Waller, et al.) is hawkish, gold could hold; if dovish, the rally could continue. Additionally, the final progress of the US shutdown could reduce safe-haven demand when official...
Gold prices rose to their highest level in more than four months as many investors sought a safe haven amid uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This rise was also supported by speculation that the Federal Reserve (The Fed) would cut interest rates in September. Furthermore, the US dollar weakened, making gold a more attractive investment option. Spot gold prices are currently near the record high reached in late April. Uncertainty intensified after a court declared the trade tariffs illegal, although they remain in effect until October while Trump plans to appeal....
World oil prices rose on Tuesday (September 2nd), triggered by the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Brent and WTI surged after a Ukrainian drone attack crippled Russian oil processing facilities, which account for a significant portion of supply capacity. This situation sparked concerns about global supply disruptions and prompted investors to return to the energy market. Although geopolitical sentiment lifted prices, the medium-term outlook remains clouded by a production surplus. Surging output from the United States and other producers is expected to create a supply glut of up...
Silver prices (XAG/USD) strengthened, approaching their highest level since 2011. From a macro perspective, the rise was driven by strong expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates this month after PCE inflation data matched expectations, which held down real yields and pressured the US dollar—a combination that has historically been positive for precious metals. Safe-haven sentiment also remained strong amid policy and geopolitical uncertainty, boosting interest in safe-haven assets like silver. Source: Newsmaker.id-(alg)
Oil prices rose about 1% on Monday (September 1st) as a weaker dollar and Russia-Ukraine tensions threatened supply, with Brent at $67.96 and WTI at $64.66. Despite the gains, the market remains clouded by the OPEC+ supply surplus and weakening global demand. Looking ahead, analysts estimate a supply glut of up to 1.6 million barrels per day by the fourth quarter of 2025. Investors are now focused on the OPEC+ meeting and US employment data, which could influence interest rate policy and commodity demand. Oil prices at the time of writing were at $67/96 oz. DISCLAIMER Note: This article...
Brent oil prices fell slightly to around US$67.36 per barrel in trading on Monday (September 1), as pressure from surging global production offset the impact of supply disruptions caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. A surge in US production, reaching a record 13.58 million barrels per day in June, also increased the potential for a market surplus. On the demand side, sentiment remains weak, particularly due to the contraction in China's manufacturing sector, which has lasted for five consecutive months. This worsens the outlook for global energy consumption, limiting room for price...