OPEC on Tuesday raised its forecast for global oil demand next year and trimmed its forecast for growth in supply from the United States and other producers outside the wider OPEC+ group, pointing to a tighter market outlook. World oil demand will rise by 1.38 million barrels per day in 2026, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said in a monthly report, up 100,000 bpd from the previous forecast. This year's expectation was left unchanged. Oil supply from countries outside the Declaration of Cooperation - the formal name for OPEC+ - will rise by about 630,000 barrels per...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened for the second straight day on Monday (6/16), pushing the USD/JPY pair to the 144.75 area during the Asian session, albeit without any follow-through. Expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may not raise interest rates again this year, along with a generally positive tone around equity markets, undermined the safe-haven JPY. However, investors seemed confident that the central bank will stick to its path towards policy normalization amid broadening inflation. This, along with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, should help limit any deeper...
The GBP/USD pair remained below three-year highs touched on Friday, albeit lacked bearish conviction and oscillated in a narrow range around mid-1.3500s through the Asian session. Traders seemed reluctant and chose to wait for this week's key data/central bank event risk before positioning for the next leg of a directional move in the spot prices. The latest UK consumer inflation figures will be released on Wednesday ahead of the Bank of England (BoE) policy meeting on Thursday, which will play a key role in influencing the British Pound (GBP). Further, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is...
The Australian dollar (AUD) extended its losses against the US dollar (USD) on Monday (6/16). The AUD/USD pair remained subdued for the second straight session amid rising tensions in the Middle East. The AUD held losses after the release of key Chinese economic data, given that Australia and China are close trading partners. China Retail Sales rose 6.4% year-on-year in May, beating estimates of 5.0% and a 5.1% increase in April. Meanwhile, Industrial Production increased 5.8% YoY but below estimates of 5.9% and 6.1% previously. Israel and Iran continue to exchange attacks despite...
The dollar rose against major currencies on Monday, boosted by safe-haven buying from investors worried that the Israel-Iran fighting could escalate into a wider regional conflict as they prepared for a week packed with central bank meetings. With Iran and Israel showing no sign of backing down from their attacks, the prospect that Tehran might try to close the Strait of Hormuz - the world's most important gateway for oil shipments - raises the broader economic risk of disruption in the energy-rich Middle East. Scheduled weekend talks between Iran and the United States over Tehran's...
EUR/USD extended its decline for the second straight session, trading around 1.1540 during Asian hours on Monday (6/16). The currency pair depreciated as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened amid increased demand for safe havens as geopolitical tensions escalate in the Middle East. Israel launched an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities and missile plants on Friday. Iran responded with an attack on Israel on Sunday night, with explosions seen in the coastal city of Haifa. Israel continues to attack military targets in Iran, despite international calls for diplomacy and de-escalation, according...
U.S. President Donald Trump announced Monday evening on Truth Social that Israel and Iran have agreed to a "Complete and Total CEASEFIRE" following what he referred to as "THE 12 DAY...
Gold moved above $2600 on Monday during the Asian trading session. Currently, Gold is still struggling to capitalize on last week's modest recovery from a one-month low and is fluctuating.
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