Sunday, 14 September 2025
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Saturday, 13 September 2025 02:21 WIB

The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver its first interest-rate cut this year at its September 16-17 meeting, as it moves to counter a cooling labor market even as inflation remains above target. The anticipated quarter-point reduction may not satisfy President Donald Trump, who wants a bigger cut and has named his White House economic advisor, Stephen Miran, in time to be on the Fed Board at the September meeting, pending Senate confirmation. Here is a look at Fed officials' comments since their last policy meeting, sorting them under the labels "dove" and "hawk" as shorthand for their...

RECENT NEWS
Gold price struggles to capitalize on modest intraday gains to $3,250 area
Monday, 19 May 2025 11:31 WIB | GOLD

Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts buyers during the Asian session on Monday as a surprise downgrade of the US government's credit rating tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets and boosts demand for traditional safe-haven assets. Furthermore, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's reaffirmation of President Donald Trump's tariff threats lends additional support to the bullion. Meanwhile, bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates further this year keep the US Dollar (USD) depressed and turn out to be another factor lending some support to the non-yielding yellow...

WTI sticks to modest intraday losses
Monday, 19 May 2025 10:09 WIB | Minyak WTI

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices struggle to capitalize on Friday's move higher and attract fresh sellers at the start of a new week. The commodity, however, recovers slightly from the Asian session low and currently trades around the $61.70-$61.65 region, still down nearly 0.40% for the day. The uncertainty over the outcome of Iran-US nuclear talks and rising tensions between Estonia and Russia, following the latter's detention of a Greek-owned oil tanker on Sunday, turned out to be key factors acting as a tailwind for the black liquid. In fact, US special envoy Steve...

Japanese Yen Strengthens on Dollar Weakness
Monday, 19 May 2025 09:42 WIB | JAPAN

The Japanese yen strengthened past 145 per dollar on Monday, marking its fifth consecutive session of gains, as the US dollar weakened following Moody's credit rating downgrade. On Friday, the agency lowered the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing a worsening fiscal outlook and "a lack of effective policy action" to address mounting deficits. Domestically, recent data showed that Japan's economy contracted in the first quarter of 2025, with GDP falling worse than market expectations and marking its first economic contraction in a year. Investors are now turning their attention to the...

EUR/USD rises near 1.1200, USD drops
Monday, 19 May 2025 08:48 WIB | Euro

EUR/USD recovered from previous session's losses, trading near 1.1190 during the Asian session on Monday (05/19). The pair strengthened as the US dollar came under pressure following Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating by one notch from Aaa to Aa1 on the grounds of rising debt levels and rising interest payments. Moody's follows previous downgrades by Fitch Ratings in 2023 and Standard & Poor's in 2011. Moody's now projects US federal debt to reach around 134% of GDP in 2035, up from 98% in 2023, while the federal deficit is expected to widen to nearly 9% of GDP, driven by higher...

AUD/USD steady in Asia ahead of China macro data
Monday, 19 May 2025 08:30 WIB | DOLLAR AUD,

The AUD/USD pair kicked off the new week on a subdued note and consolidated just above the 0.6400 round-figure mark during the Asian session (19/05). Moreover, the spot prices remained confined within a familiar range for the past month or so as traders await fresh catalysts before positioning for the next leg of the directional move. Meanwhile, Monday's China macro data could provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities. However, the immediate market reaction is likely to be limited as the focus remains on the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA)...

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FISCAL
Trump Says He'll Fire Fed's Cook If She Doesn't Resign
Saturday, 23 August 2025 00:41 WIB

President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...

MONETARY
Australia Keeps Cash Rate As Expected
Tuesday, 1 April 2025 10:51 WIB

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...