The US economy is slowing, according to a monthly index released Monday, increasing the likelihood that policymakers will cut interest rates next month. The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index fell slightly to minus 0.19 in July from a downwardly revised minus 0.18 in June. A reading below zero indicates slower growth than the long-term average. Employment indicators remained negative on the index, a fresh sign of fragility in the US labor market. This weakness is one of the main reasons for a rate cut at the Fed's policy meeting next month. Central bank Chairman Jerome Powell last week...
Retail sales in the US contracted 0.9% month-over-month in January 2025, much worse than forecasts of a 0.1% drop, and following an upwardly revised 0.7% gain in December. It is the biggest decline in retail sales since March 2023, with severe weather and LA fires weighing on consumer spending. Sales at sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, & book stores (-4.6%) recorded the biggest decline, followed by motor vehicles and part dealers (-2.8%); nonstore retailers (-1.9%); furniture (-1.7%); building material & garden equipment (-1.3%); clothing (-1.2%); health and personal care...
U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday took what could become his most consequential action involving international trade early in his second administration. Trump, who signed a memorandum calling for reciprocal tariffs, told a group of reporters in the Oval Office that "if you build your product in the United States, there are no tariffs." The goal is to bring down America's budget deficit, estimated to be approaching $2 trillion. The president added that the action "is fair to all. No other country can complain." Trump ordered Howard Lutnick and Jamieson Greer, his picks for commerce...
President Donald Trump on Thursday signed a presidential memorandum outlining his plan to impose "reciprocal tariffs" on foreign countries. "They put a tax or a tariff on us and we put a tariff on them," Trump said at a news conference in the Oval Office. The president said that under the plan, the U.S. would treat other countries' non-tariff policies as unfair trade practices that require tariffs in response. That includes value-added taxes, or VATs, and other practices deemed by the U.S. Trade Representative's office to be unfair restrictions on trade. Trump said that foreign countries...
Core producer prices in the United States, which exclude food and energy costs, rose by 0.3% over a month in January 2025, following an upwardly revised 0.4% increase in December, in line with market forecasts. On a yearly basis, core producer inflation was 3.6% in January, down slightly from an upwardly revised 3.7% in December but well above market estimates of 3.3%.Source: Trading Economics
US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance rose to 213K for the week ending February 8, as reported by the US Department of Labor (DoL) on Thursday. This print missed initial estimates and was lower than the previous week's revised tally of 220K (from 219K). The report also highlighted a seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate of 1.2%, while the four-week moving average dropped to 216.00K, marking a decrease of 1K from the prior week's revised average.Source: FXStreet
President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...