New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams indicated on Wednesday that interest rates could decrease at some point, but emphasized that upcoming economic data will determine if a rate cut is appropriate at the September 16-17 meeting. "Every meeting is, from my perspective, live" for a change in the benchmark policy rate, Williams stated during a CNBC interview. He added that "risks are more in balance. We are going to just have to see how the data play out." Before the next Federal Reserve meeting, policymakers will receive fresh jobs data and new consumer price inflation...
Unemployment claims fell 7,000 to 221,000 in the week ending July 12, compared with the median estimate of 233,000, according to Labor Department data. The estimated range was 220,000-240,000 according to 43 economists. The previous week's claims were revised up to 228,000 from 227,000. The 4-week moving average was 229,500 in the week ending July 12. Actual unadjusted initial claims were 260,900 vs. 241,400 in the previous week. Continuing claims rose 2,000 to 1.956 million in the week ending July 5. (alg) Source: Bloomberg
Retail sales in the US increased 0.6% month-on-month to $720.1 billion in June, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This figure follows a 0.9% decline reported in May and was better than market expectations of a 0.1% increase. On an annual basis, retail sales rose 3.9% in June, compared to 3.3% in May. "Total sales for the period April 2025 to June 2025 increased 4.1% compared to the same period last year," the press release stated. (alg) Source: FXstreet
What are the market implications of a potential early departure of Fed Chairman Powell? This scenario seemed improbable, but for an hour on Wednesday afternoon, it seemed very real. It was initially reported that a letter had been prepared by Trump and delivered to Republican policymakers, and at one point the White House confirmed that Trump would fire Powell. Shortly thereafter, Trump said it was "unlikely" he would fire Powell, notes ING FX analyst Chris Turner. Potential for USD consolidation or slight appreciation "In that hour, we saw the reaction we expected: a steepening of the US...
President Donald Trump said Wednesday he plans to send a single letter to over 150 countries outlining the tariff rate they will face, saying, "It's all going to be the same for everyone, for that group." He noted these are "not big countries" with limited trade ties to the U.S., unlike China or Japan. All nations have faced a 10% baseline tariff since April, though Trump has hinted it could rise to 15–20%, without confirming specifics. About two dozen countries, including the EU, Japan, and South Korea, have already received individual letters with tariff rates effective August 1,...
Australia is set to release the June employment report on Thursday at 1:30 GMT. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) is expected to announce that the country added 20,000 new job positions in the month, reversing the 2,500 lost positions announced in May. The Unemployment Rate is foreseen steady at 4.1%, while the Participation Rate is also expected to remain unchanged at 67%. Ahead of the announcement, the Australian Dollar (AUD) is under strong selling pressure amid fears dominating financial boards. Australian ABS reports both full-time and part-time positions through the monthly...
President Donald Trump said he would fire Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors if she does not resign her post over mortgage-fraud accusations from a top...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...