Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
Gold prices edged up to around $4,084/oz after two days of declines of more than 3%. This occurred amid diminishing expectations for a Fed interest rate cut next month, as several US central bank officials signaled their uncertainty about further rate cuts.Although interest rates could potentially remain high in the short term, gold is still supported by expectations that the Fed will increase liquidity through Treasury bill purchases and gradually move towards a more lenient policy. This has maintained interest in gold, while other precious metals such as silver, platinum, and palladium...
On Friday, November 14, 2025, global silver prices continued to rise and remained near this year's peak, around USD 52-53 per troy ounce. Within a week, silver had surged nearly 10%, making it one of the best weekly performers of 2025 and bringing prices back near last October's record high. This increase was supported by a combination of a weakening US dollar and continued strong investor interest in safe-haven assets following the end of the US government shutdown, which had disrupted economic data releases. Beyond short-term sentiment, silver's bigger story stems from its long-term...
Oil prices are heading for a third week of decline due to concerns about a global supply glut. The IEA has again raised its surplus projection and even predicted a record oversupply next year, as OPEC+ continues to increase production while demand remains sluggish. WTI in December was trading around USD 58.87 per barrel, and Brent in January was around USD 63.01 per barrel. However, this downward pressure has been somewhat offset by the risk of US sanctions against Russian energy giants like Rosneft and Lukoil. Lukoil's trading business has begun downsizing staff, and there are reports that...
Global supply continues to surge as production from the OPEC+ bloc has resumed production cuts, while non-OPEC producers such as the US, Brazil, and Canada are actively adding capacity. For example, reports suggest that global supply growth could reach 2.7 million barrels per day in 2025, far exceeding demand, which is expected to grow by only around 0.7 million barrels per day. Under these conditions, the forward curve for Brent even indicated contango, indicating that the market is anticipating future oversupply. On the demand side, growth is starting to slow, particularly in major...
Gold remains supported by growing market expectations for monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve, as investors doubt whether the data released after the government shutdown will support the economy. With US interest rates potentially falling, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold becomes lower. Furthermore, demand from central banks and investors as a hedge against geopolitical risks is also driving gold's advantage. However, the downside is also real: a stable or strengthening US dollar and rising bond yields will diminish gold's appeal. If US economic data improves and...
Gold remains strong, driven by expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and uncertainty in the US economy. Although the US government has reopened, investors continue to seek refuge in gold due to the lack of economic data and global concerns. However, if pending US economic data turns out to be positive or the Fed indicates that interest rates will remain high, gold prices could be under pressure. Technically, gold could consolidate before continuing to rise, so it's important to be alert to any policy changes or emerging economic data. At the time of this analysis's...
Silver is expected to consolidate its strong gains of the past few days, trading around the highs recorded some time ago and appears poised to continue strengthening. The solid rebound from technical support levels and positive movement in daily indicators suggest a positive outlook for silver. If the price manages to break through a new high, silver will likely test higher levels and pave the way for further positive momentum. However, if silver corrects and moves down from its current level, it is likely to fall to an intermediate support level. If this support fails to hold, the price...
Silver prices have strengthened again following growing confidence that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. When interest rates fall, precious metals like silver become more attractive because their value tends to stabilize amid economic uncertainty. Furthermore, many investors are starting to view silver as a hedge against inflation and a weakening US dollar. This increase is also driven by increasing demand from the technology and green energy industries. Silver is widely used in solar panels and electric vehicles, thus strengthening its prospects for a clean energy...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....