Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
Tensions and fears are running high in Switzerland, as the deadline to strike a trade agreement with the U.S. looms just days away. Without a deal, Switzerland faces 39% duties on its goods imported into the U.S., after it was hit with one of the highest new tariff rates under U.S. President Donald Trump's latest trade policy shift last week. The higher duty surprised many, as widespread reports had previously suggested a trade agreement was near, and was just missing Trump's signature. Over the weekend, reports emerged that the higher tariffs followed a disagreeable Thursday phone call...
White House economic advisers on Sunday defended President Donald Trump's firing of the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, dismissing criticism that Trump's actions could undermine confidence in official U.S. economic data. On Sunday, Trump again criticized BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer, without providing evidence of wrongdoing, and said he would appoint a new BLS commissioner in the next three or four days. U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer told CBS that Trump has "real concerns" about the BLS data, while Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, said the...
The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48 in July 2025 from 49 in June, missing expectations of a rise to 49.5. This figure marked the fifth consecutive month of contraction in the manufacturing sector and was the weakest since October of last year. The largest negative contributions came from declines in supplier deliveries (45.7 vs. 46.7) and employment (43.4 vs. 45.0). On the positive side, production increased (51.4 vs. 50.3), while declines in new orders (47.1 vs. 46.4) and backlogs (46.8 vs. 44.3) eased. Price pressures also eased, with the price index falling to 64.8 from 69.7. Source:...
US non-farm payrolls rose by 73,000 in July 2025, after being revised down by 14,000 in June and well below the 110,000 estimate. The upward trend in employment in the healthcare and social assistance sectors continued. The federal government continued to lose jobs. The June figure was also revised down sharply from 147,000 to 14,000, and the May figure was also revised down by 125,000. With these revisions, total employment in May and June was 258,000 lower than previously reported. (alg) Source: trading economics
President Donald Trump urged the Federal Reserve Board to "take control" if Chairman Jerome Powell doesn't cut interest rates, escalating his feud with the central bank's leadership. "Jerome Powell 'Late,' a stubborn, STUPID man, must lower interest rates substantially, now. if he continues to refuse, the board must take control, and do what everyone knows should do!" the president wrote on social media on Friday. The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the president's remarks. Trump's post came after Fed officials left interest rates unchanged on...
The Fed may or may not actually cut interest rates in September. The deciding factor will be how robust macroeconomic data (namely, inflation and the labor market) looks at that time. That's why all eyes will likely be on today's US labor market report for July. Certainly, there are signs of weakness in some areas of the US labor market, particularly in cyclical sectors like manufacturing and business services. While the June report shows a fairly good figure (+147,000), a closer look reveals mixed results. However, there are no signs of a slowdown, notes Commerzbank FX analyst Antje...
The U.S. will levy a 30% tariff on South African exports next week, after Pretoria failed to reach a trade deal before President Donald Trump's deadline. The new rate is part of a broader executive order signed Thursday, imposing tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on dozens of countries to reshape global trade in favor of the U.S. Despite months of negotiations and an offer to buy U.S. LNG and invest $3.3 billion in American industries, South Africa's efforts fell short. Trade Minister Parks Tau warned the tariff threatens key export sectors like automotive, agro-processing, steel, and...
U.S. President Donald Trump has imposed a 19% tariff on exports from Malaysia to the U.S., lower than the 25% rate he initially threatened in July. The rate was finalized in an executive order signed on July 31, just ahead of the August 1 deadline Trump set for countries to reach trade agreements with his administration. According to Malaysia's trade ministry, the revised tariff was achieved without compromising the country's sovereign rights, as it held firm on several key "red line" issues. The ministry described the outcome as a "significant achievement" resulting from sustained...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....