Oil prices stabilized on Thursday (February 12th), as the market reassigned a risk premium to US-Iran tensions despite US inventory data showing swelling domestic supplies. This movement confirms one thing: geopolitical headlines are still more "noise" than signals of a short-term surplus. As of 3:50 PM WIB, Brent was at $69.60/barrel (+0.29%) and WTI was at $64.83/barrel (+0.31%). The gains were moderate, but enough to keep prices near the psychological $70 level for Brent. From a geopolitical perspective, market focus is on the potential for escalation in the Middle East. Recent reports...
A highly anticipated meeting between the U.S. and Chinese presidents is more likely to take place next year than this fall, U.S. Ambassador to China David Perdue said Tuesday. "We're looking forward to getting together, as President Trump said, and potentially in the near future, but certainly next year," Perdue said. His comments came during a press conference with a group of U.S. lawmakers on a rare visit to Beijing the first since 2019. After a call Friday with Chinese President Xi Jinping, U.S. President Donald Trump said on social media that the two agreed to meet around a...
Economic activity in the UK's private sector expanded at a softer pace in September than in August, with the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) declining to 51 from 53.5. This reading came in worse than the market expectation of 52.7. In this period, the Manufacturing PMI fell to 46.2 from 47, while the Services PMI edged lower to 51.9 from 54.2. Commenting on the survey's findings, "September's flash UK PMI survey brought a litany of worrying news including weakening growth, slumping overseas trade, worsening business confidence and further steep job losses," said...
Germany's HCOB Manufacturing PMI slipped to 48.5 in September 2025, down from 49.8 in August, surprising market expectations for stabilization at 50. The reading signaled the steepest contraction in four months. Production continued to expand but at the softest pace in two months, while new orders fell for the first time in four months, marking the sharpest decline since January. Export sales also dropped for a second consecutive month. Firms relied on existing backlogs to support output, though outstanding business was depleted at the fastest rate in nine months. Employment fell further,...
Wolfe Research said the latest call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping underscored a thaw in relations but cautioned that tariff relief is unlikely in the near term. The firm described the September 19 call as the capstone to "a week of positive noises on the US-China relationship," with both sides issuing upbeat readouts. Trump highlighted Xi's approval of the TikTok deal framework and "productive" talks on trade, fentanyl, and Russia-Ukraine. Beijing's statement was "pragmatic, positive, and constructive" but also warned that "the US side should avoid...
India's Trade Minister Piyush Goyal will visit Washington today, September 22, to push forward a long-pending trade deal, following renewed talks last week. "The delegation plans to take forward the discussions with a view to achieving early conclusion of a mutually beneficial trade agreement," an official statement said. On September 16, U.S. Assistant Trade Representative Brendan Lynch met Indian officials led by Chief Negotiator Rajesh Agrawal in New Delhi. Talks were described as "positive" and "forward-looking" after President Trump softened his stance following punitive tariffs on...
Russian President Vladimir Putin signaled on Thursday that he is open to raising certain taxes, especially on the wealthy, as the government struggles to make ends meet in the fourth year of the war in Ukraine, Reuters reported. The draft budget is expected to be submitted to parliament on September 29. Sources told Reuters that the government is considering raising the value-added tax rate to keep the budget deficit in check and maintain reserves. Meeting with leaders of parliamentary factions, Putin said that measures such as a luxury tax or a higher tax on stock dividends could be...
President Donald Trump has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to allow him to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook while he fights Trump's attempt to oust her. This has drawn the justices into a high-profile legal battle that has major implications for the independence of the U.S. central bank. The Justice Department asked the court on Thursday to at least temporarily delay a Washington federal judge's ruling allowing Cook to remain in office for the time being. The emergency request comes after the Fed held its final meeting earlier this week, which Cook attended. Last month, Trump said he...
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance went down to 231K for the week ending September 13. The latest print came in short of initial estimates (240K) and was lower than the previous week's 264K (revised from 263K). Additionally, the 4-week moving average decreased by 750, bringing it to 240K from the revised average of the previous week. The report indicated a seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate of 1.3%, with Continuing Jobless Claims shrinking by 7K to...
Gold rises in the early Asian trade. There's a broad commodities uptrend, driven by macro uncertainty, a weaker dollar, and persistent demand for "hard" assets, says Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst...
Oil extended declines after OPEC+ agreed to a bigger-than-expected production increase next month, raising concerns about oversupply just as US tariffs fan fears about the demand outlook.
Brent...
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against its US counterpart and reversed part of Friday's recovery from the lowest level since July 23 following Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks....