This weekend the US successfully used the threat of tariffs on Colombia to secure its policy objective of deporting illegal immigrants. The use of tariffs as a policy lever now appears well understood by the market and may be worth it to reduce marginal volatility, notes ING FX analyst Chris Turner. "FX markets are still operating on the potential 1 February deadline for tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China – and that should prevent the dollar from correcting too much this week. Instead, focus may shift back to the macro side given a slew of central bank rate meetings, Q4 GDP data and some...
USD/JPY edged lower, tracking lower UST yields while the BoJ MPC (last Friday) signaled continued policy normalization. The currency pair was last seen at 154.05, OCBC FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong noted. "Japanese economic data supports BoJ policy normalization. Wage growth pressures remain intact, along with broadening services inflation. Tokyo core CPI, PPI, wages rose while labor market reports also showed upward wage pressure with the unemployment rate easing, while unions called for another 5-6% wage hike in the shunto wage negotiations for 2025." "We still expect...
WTI crude futures were fluctuating around $74.8 a barrel on Monday as markets reacted to the Trump administration's trade policy shift. The U.S. initially threatened tariffs on Colombia over a migrant dispute but stopped short of doing so after Bogotá agreed to President Trump's terms. The move follows a series of global trade actions targeting China, Canada, Mexico and the EU, alongside calls for OPEC to lower oil prices. Trump has argued that lower oil prices could hurt Russia's revenues and curb its actions in Ukraine. Meanwhile, signs of slowing economic activity in China, the world's...