Gold (XAU/USD) trades with a negative bias on Thursday, trimming recent gains after posting a fresh all-time high near $3,895 on Wednesday. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,820 during the American session, down over 1.0% after briefly retesting the record peak. The fundamental backdrop still leans supportive. The United States (US) government shutdown is stoking safe-haven interest, while growing conviction that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates later this month is keeping Treasury yields subdued, which bolsters the case for holding the non-yielding...
Oil prices fell about 2% to their lowest in four months on Thursday, extending a run of declines into a fourth day, due to concerns about oversupply in the market ahead of a meeting of the OPEC+ group over the weekend. Brent crude futures fell $1.20, or 1.8%, to $64.15 a barrel by 2:45 p.m. ET (1845 GMT), the lowest since June 2. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped $1.30, or 2.1%, to settle at $60.48 a barrel, the lowest since May 30. OPEC+ could agree to raise oil production by up to 500,000 barrels per day in November, triple the increase for October, as Saudi Arabia seeks to...
The Australian dollar (AUD) moved cautiously as markets weighed the effects of the US government shutdown, which delayed the release of important macro data and obscured visibility ahead of the Fed's decision. The lack of data has led market participants to rely again on signals from Treasury yields and the direction of the DXY; if US yields soften and the dollar loses traction, the AUD has room to strengthen, but any risk-off episodes tend to pressure high-beta currencies like the Aussie. Domestically, the focus is on the RBA early next week to read the latest policy tone: whether the...