Renewed tensions between the United States and Russia have resurfaced following an incident involving an oil tanker, sparking market concerns about potential disruptions to global energy supplies. Washington's move, associated with tightening oversight and enforcement of sanctions on Russian oil shipments, is viewed by Moscow as provocative and could worsen relations between the two countries. Russia views these actions as an attempt by the United States to suppress Russian energy exports and strengthen its dominance in the global oil market. Meanwhile, Washington argues that these measures...
Oil prices weakened following the Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska today. Brent fell 0.93% to $66.18/barrel at the time of writing.The market is weighing the possibility of a ceasefire in Ukraine, which could lead to the easing of Russian oil sanctions, versus a stalemate that risks triggering secondary US sanctions.Sentiment is also underscored by weak Chinese data (falling factory output, slowing retail sales) and concerns about a supply surplus as OPEC+ production increases. The IEA assesses that the market is likely oversupplied, making prices easily bearish. Oil prices at the time of...
Silver prices held below $38 an ounce on Friday after falling more than 1% in the previous session, as hotter-than-expected US producer inflation dampened hopes for a significant Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September. Weekly jobless claims also came in at 224,000, below the 228,000 forecast, indicating some labor market resilience. The market still rates more than a 90% chance of a 25 basis point cut next month, but the chances of a larger 50 bps move have been erased. Source: Newsmaker.id
Gold prices held steady on Friday (August 15th), continuing the previous session's decline and on track for their worst week since late June. Sentiment was weighed down after a series of stronger-than-expected US data eroded hopes of a significant Fed interest rate cut, causing the dollar and US bond yields to strengthen and dampen interest in non-yielding assets like gold. Pressure intensified after the US PPI rose at its fastest pace in three years in July, well above consensus, indicating that companies were beginning to pass on tariff-induced import cost increases to final...
The oil market is currently facing strong bearish fundamental pressure. The IEA estimates that global supply will increase rapidly—around 2.5 million barrels per day in 2025—while demand growth continues to weaken, reaching only around 680,000 bpd, due to weak consumption in developed countries, as well as China, India, and Brazil. OPEC+ responded by ending its production cuts and instead increasing output, exacerbating the global surplus. Recent data shows that US shale oil producers are reducing investment and even decommissioning rigs as oil prices fall below breakeven. Other analysis...
Silver prices held above $38.50 per ounce on Thursday (August 14th), hovering near a three-week high as expectations of a deeper Federal Reserve interest rate cut this year buoyed the market. Weaker US inflation data suggested that President Donald Trump's tariffs were not adding to price pressures, while signs of a weakening labor market reinforced the dovish outlook. The market is almost fully pricing in a September rate cut, with some anticipating a larger 50 basis point cut. Additionally, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called for multiple rate cuts and said the Fed could begin...
Asian stock markets fell in unison on Thursday, following Wall Street's decline. A brief rally in tech stocks led by Nvidia quickly faded, prompting investors to turn away from riskier assets like...
European stock indices closed marginally lower on Wednesday as equities took a breather from their recent strong momentum, while investors continued to assess the outlook for the ECB's policy this...
The upcoming Supreme Court ruling on the legality of President Donald Trump's massive tariffs, which rocked markets in April, is one of the next major tests for US stocks and bonds.
Equity markets...