The Pound Sterling (GBP) registers back-to-back bearish days, dropping some 0.14% on Friday against the Greenback after economic data from the United Kingdom (UK) revealed that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted. Despite this, GBP/USD is trading above the 1.2900 figure, poised to finish the day near this level.
GBP/USD pressured after UK GDP miss while rising US inflation expectations complicate Fed's next move
Recently, data from the University of Michigan (UoM) showed that Consumer Sentiment in March deteriorated, from 64.7 to 57.9, below forecast of 63.1. Notably, inflation expectations jumped, with Americans seeing 12-month inflation up from 4.3% to 4.9%. Over a five-year period, consumers saw prices running at 3.9%, up from 3.5%.
GBP/USD traders' eyes are on next week's central bank bonanza, beginning with the Federal Reserve (Fed). Last Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell revealed that "market measures of inflation expectations have moved up, driven by tariffs."
Therefore, this Friday's reading could prevent the Fed from easing policy as US President Donald Trump will enact reciprocal tariffs on April 2.
Across the pond, the British economy shrank unexpectedly by -0.1% MoM in January, missing the 0.1% expansion estimated by analysts. After the data, interest rate swaps priced in 56 basis points of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE) in 2025, which is expected to hold rates next Thursday.
Next week, data from the UK will feature the jobs report, S&P Global Flash PMIs and the BoE interest rate decision. For the US, traders will look at Retail Sales, housing data, the Fed's monetary policy decisions and economic projections.
Source: Fxstreet
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