Stephen Miran, a Federal Reserve governor whose term ends at the end of January, said Thursday that he is looking for 150 basis points of interest-rate cuts this year to boost the U.S. labor market. Miran told Bloomberg Television's Surveillance program that Fed officials had room to further reduce rates given his view that underlying inflation was likely running at 2.3%. "I'm looking for about a point and a half of cuts. A lot of that is driven by my view of inflation," Miran said. "Underlying inflation is running within noise of our target, and that's a good indication of where overall...
Gold edged lower midafternoon as traders turn cautious with the dollar and yields falling ahead of tomorrow's U.S. presidential election and this week's interest-rate decision from the Federal Reserve. Gold for December delivery was last seen down US$3.00 to US$2,746.20 per ounce. The rise comes ahead of Tuesday's U.S. election, with polls showing a tight race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, as the two candidates offer much different economic policies. Harris is expected to continue much of the Biden Administration's policies while Trump plans blanket tariffs on imports. A...
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a range, probably between 1.2890 and 1.2980. In the longer run, GBP must break and remain below 1.2845 before a sustained decline can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note. 24-HOUR VIEW: "After GBP dropped sharply last Thursday, we highlighted on Friday that ‘The sharp drop appears to be overdone, and GBP is unlikely to weaken further.' We held the view that GBP ‘is more likely to trade in a range, probably between 1.2860 and 1.2950.' GBP did not weaken further, but instead of trading in a range, it rose to...
Gold is edging lower in early European trade as markets exercise caution ahead of a busy week between the U.S. presidential election and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision. Futures trade 0.2% lower at $2,743.00 a troy ounce, but are still up nearly 3% on the month and more than 30% year-to-date. Uncertainty around the election outcome--with the latest opinion polls showing a neck-and-neck race between Vice President Harris and former President Trump--has stoked demand for the safe-haven asset in recent days. Meanwhile, traders expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points,...
Oil advanced after OPEC+ agreed to push back its December production increase by one month and tensions escalated again in the Middle East. Brent rose as much as 2.5% to more than $74 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate climbed above $71. Saudi Arabia and its allies delayed a series of monthly output hikes until early next year, a move anticipated by many traders amid fragile market conditions. Meanwhile, Iran escalated its rhetoric against Israel with supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warning of a "crushing response" in a speech on Saturday. The Wall...
The rise in silver prices could be attributed to a weaker US Dollar (USD) amid lower Treasury yields. A weaker dollar generally boosts demand for dollar-denominated commodities like silver, making it more attractive to buyers using other currencies. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against a basket of six major currencies, was trading around 103.80 with the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields at 4.17% and 4.31%, respectively, at the time of writing. Silver prices may remain volatile as traders also brace for the upcoming monetary policy decision from...
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that achieving 2% inflation is getting closer, although real inflation remains low. Ueda emphasized that the BOJ will continue to raise interest rates...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its cash rate at 4.1% during its April meeting, holding borrowing costs unchanged after slashing 25 bps in the February meeting, aligning with market...