A closely watched measure of U.K. economic activity surged to the highest since 2018 in January, undercutting the case for a Bank of England interest-rate cut next week. IHS Markit's flash index for output across the whole economy jumped to 52.4 as firms cited reduced political uncertainty in the wake of Boris Johnson's decisive election victory. That's up from 49.3 last month and above levels most economists said would be enough to stave off a rate cut on Jan. 30. Investors see the Purchasing Managers Indexes as a key factor in the debate over BOE easing this month, providing the most...
AUD's marathon of data for the week has continued today with the release of the October Retail Sales and Trade Balance. Note: Retail Sales was the main focus in these releases. The data arrived as follows : Imports (Oct) 0% vs prior 3%. Exports (Oct) -5% vs prior 3%. Trade Balance (Oct) 4502 M vs 6100 M expected and prior 7180 M. Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (Oct) 0% vs 0.3% expected and prior 0.2% . AUD/USD has dumped 0.17% and counting for the session on the knee-jerk on the back of the combined disappointments in the data. Source : FX...
The US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for the month of November printed a 53.9 reading, half a point below the consensus expectation. The service sector business survey adds to the bunch of negative releases coming from the United States this week, after disappointments from the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the ADP Employment Report. The US dollar extended its losses after the release, with EUR/USD touching 1.1110 before retracing back just below 1.11 and GBP/USD making new multi-month highs at 1.3115 at press time. Despite the negative generic reading, there were some green lights in the report,...
ADP's Employment Change figures for November came out at 67,000, well below expectations for an increase of 140,00. Moreover, October's figure was revised down to 121,000 from 125,000. Some suspect that the gap stems from calculations related to the strike at General Motors. Nevertheless, this is the second significant miss in a top-tier US figure this week. ISM Manufacturing PMI fell short of expectations with 48.1 points. The US Dollar is on the back foot with GBP/USD extending its gains to 1.31 and EUR/USD getting closer to 1.11. Source : FXstreet
Australias Q3 national accounts in the Gross Domestic Product has been released. Prior to the data, analysts at Westpac had noted that," growth over the year to Q2 was just 1.4%, the slowest pace since 2009 and revealing that the economy was declining in per capita terms," arguing that, "favourable base effects should ensure that annual growth at least improves. Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q3) 1.7 % vs exp 1.7 % (prior 1.4 %). Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q3) 0.4 % vs exp 0.5 % (prior 0.5 %). Source : FX Street
The November Caixin China Manufacturing PMI (Markit, sponsored by Caixin) has been released which follows a surprise weekend Manufacturing PMI which recorded its first expansionary print in six months. The weekend data was moving back above 50, reflecting that manufacturing activity has improved from contraction to expansion sparking a bid in risk-on fx and in the Aussie. The Caixin China Manufacturing PMIâ„¢, released by Markit Economics, is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questionnaires sent to purchasing executives in over 400 private manufacturing sector...
A report on the health of China™s manufacturing sector improved in September, although it was still below the line indicating contraction.
The manufacturing purchasing...
The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in April as both exports and imports tumbled, highlighting the impact of President Donald Trump™s tariffs even before negotiations with China unraveled and he...
Output from Germany's private sector remained unchanged in June, as a decline in manufacturing was offset by continued growth in services.
A flash reading of the country's composite Purchasing...
A trade deal between the United States and China, separately announced Friday by both countries, will be such a boon for American farmers they will "have to go out and buy much larger tractors,"...