The case for a U.S. interest rate cut remains unresolved as Federal Reserve officials head into their policy meeting later this month, with data showing fresh signs of higher inflation and President Donald Trump intensifying his demands for lower borrowing costs. Trump appeared near the point of trying to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell this week, but backed off with a nod to the market disruption that would likely follow, and the U.S. central bank's policy rate outlook remains virtually unchanged despite the drama. Fed officials haven't mentioned raising rates, but headlines about an...
U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to ramp up arms shipments to Ukraine is a signal to Kyiv to abandon peace efforts, Russia said on Thursday, vowing it would not accept the "blackmail" of Washington's new sanctions ultimatum. Trump announced a toughened stance on Russia's war in Ukraine on Monday, setting a 50-day deadline for Moscow to reach a ceasefire or face sanctions. The U.S. also promised more missiles and other weaponry for Kyiv. Maria Zakharova, a spokeswoman for the Russian Foreign Ministry, condemned the move. "It is obvious that the Kyiv regime consistently perceives such...
Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said the US central bank should keep interest rates steady "for some time," citing accelerating inflation as tariffs begin to push up prices. "Given the stability on the employment side of our mandate, with the unemployment rate remaining at historic lows, near-term inflation expectations high, and goods inflation rising due to rising tariff pressures, I feel it is appropriate to keep our benchmark interest rate at its current level for some time," Kugler said Thursday in prepared remarks for an event in Washington hosted by the Housing Partnership...
Unemployment claims fell 7,000 to 221,000 in the week ending July 12, compared with the median estimate of 233,000, according to Labor Department data. The estimated range was 220,000-240,000 according to 43 economists. The previous week's claims were revised up to 228,000 from 227,000. The 4-week moving average was 229,500 in the week ending July 12. Actual unadjusted initial claims were 260,900 vs. 241,400 in the previous week. Continuing claims rose 2,000 to 1.956 million in the week ending July 5. (alg) Source: Bloomberg
Retail sales in the US increased 0.6% month-on-month to $720.1 billion in June, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This figure follows a 0.9% decline reported in May and was better than market expectations of a 0.1% increase. On an annual basis, retail sales rose 3.9% in June, compared to 3.3% in May. "Total sales for the period April 2025 to June 2025 increased 4.1% compared to the same period last year," the press release stated. (alg) Source: FXstreet
What are the market implications of a potential early departure of Fed Chairman Powell? This scenario seemed improbable, but for an hour on Wednesday afternoon, it seemed very real. It was initially reported that a letter had been prepared by Trump and delivered to Republican policymakers, and at one point the White House confirmed that Trump would fire Powell. Shortly thereafter, Trump said it was "unlikely" he would fire Powell, notes ING FX analyst Chris Turner. Potential for USD consolidation or slight appreciation "In that hour, we saw the reaction we expected: a steepening of the US...
China's official NBS Manufacturing PMI increased to 49.7 in June 2025 from May's 49.5, matching market expectations while marking the third consecutive month of contraction in factory activity.
It...
Both the STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 hovered around the flatline on Friday, as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of further developments in trade talks between US President Trump and Chinese...
President Donald Trump said Wednesday he plans to send a single letter to over 150 countries outlining the tariff rate they will face, saying, "It's all going to be the same for everyone, for that...