Wednesday, 27 May 2020
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Gold Survey Shows Bulls In Full Control
Monday, 5 August 2019 13:19 WIB | GOLD CORNER |

The gold bears had their chance to take control of the market but failed, and now the bulls are in full control as both Wall Street and Main Street expect to see higher prices in the near-term as uncertainty dominates financial markets.

"The bears tried to break the market and they failed so now we get to see what this market is really made of," said Charlie Nedoss, senior market strategist with LaSalle Futures Group.

With the Federal Reserve's monetary policy in the rearview mirror, analysts say that global uncertainty and an escalation in the trade war between China and the U.S. will continue to drive gold higher after prices held critical support at $1,400 an ounce.

Last week, 14 market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. A total of 13 voters, or 93%, called for gold to be higher. There was only one or 7%, who called for lower price and nobody in the survey saw neutral price action in the near-term.

Meanwhile, 870 respondents took part in Kitco's online Main Street poll. A total of 540 voters, or 62%, called for gold to rise. Another 229, or 25%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 117 voters, or 13%, saw a sideways market.

In the last survey, Main Street and Wall Street were both bullish on prices for the week now winding down. As of 12:05 pm, last Friday, Comex August gold futures were trading $1,458.30 an ounce, up 2.7% for the last week.

Gold prices are ending last week at a fresh six-year high, recovering from a mid-week selloff after the Federal Reserve, as expected, cut rates by 25 basis points, but signaled that it wasn™t in a hurry to continue to cut rates.

Gold started its late-week rally after President Donald Trump announced on twitter that the government was imposing a 10% tariff on $300 billion in imported Chinese goods. This is on top of the 25% tariffs already targeting $250 billion in Chinese imports.

The new salvo in the ongoing trade war is one of the biggest factors why analysts are so bullish on gold in the near-term.

"Trump does whatever he wants and doesn't really listen to anybody," said Afshin Nabavi, head of trading with MKS (Switzerland). "For this reason I don't think we will see an end to the uncertainty anytime soon."

Nabavi added that even before Trump™s tweet last Thursday, gold was demonstrating resilient strength by holding support at $1,400 an ounce.

"I think $1,400 will become a very strong and important level of support for gold moving forward," he said.

Nedoss said that gold saw a major technical move on Thursday as prices recovered from Wednesday's selloff and ended the day at a session highs. He added that he expects the ongoing trade war to weigh on the U.S. dollar.

"I just don't see a lot of resistance for gold," he said. "There is a lot of fear out there and not a lot of alternatives."

Sean Lusk, co-director of commercial hedging at Walsh Trading, said that he remains bullish on gold with a target of $1,445 in the medium term. He added that equity markets are seeing some major selling pressure and he expects some of that capital to flow into gold.

"You just can't compete with all this uncertainty and gold thrives in this environment," he said.

As for how to play gold, Lusk said that he liked buying November $1,500 calls and selling two November $1,560 calls.

The lone gold bear in last week's survey was Frank McGee, precious metals dealer at Alliance Financial, who said that a lot of the news driving gold is now priced into the market.

Source: Kitco News

RELATED NEWS
Wall St., Main St. Look for Gold to Regain its Luster...
Monday, 25 May 2020 14:32 WIB

Wall Street and Main Street look for gold prices to rise this week, according to the weekly Kitco News gold survey. Traders and analysts who make up the Wall Street poll continued to cite the mass li...

Wall St., Main St. Both Look For Gold Prices To Keep Shining...
Monday, 18 May 2020 11:17 WIB

Wall Street and Main Street alike remain bullish on gold prices for this week, according to the weekly Kitco News gold survey. Professional investors and traders cited the ongoing quantitative-easing...

Wall St., Main St. Look for Bounce in Gold Prices...
Monday, 4 May 2020 12:06 WIB

Wall Street and Main Street were both undeterred by last week™s pullback in gold, calling for the metal to rise this week, according to the weekly Kitco News gold survey. Wall Street is not as heav...

Harga emas siap untuk level $ 1.800: Pasar amati dua event minggu ini...
Monday, 27 April 2020 11:27 WIB

Strategi para pedagang emas tampaknya penurunan harga beli karena logam mulia bersiap-siap untuk menguji level tertinggi 2012, menurut analis. Lebih banyak data ekonomi yang buruk pekan lalu tampakny...

Gold-Price Sentiment Overwhelmingly Bullish...
Tuesday, 14 April 2020 08:27 WIB

Participants in the weekly Kitco gold-price survey look for the metal to maintain its upward momentum this week as central banks and governments keep rolling out measures to prop up an economy that is...

LATEST NEWS
Dollar Edges Higher As U.S.-China Worries Resurface

The dollar edged higher on Wednesday as worries about the U.S. response to China™s proposed security law for Hong Kong supported safe-haven demand for the greenback. The euro held gains against the dollar and the pound but faces a severe test...

Oil Falls On Demand Concerns, U.S.-China Tensions

Oil prices fell on Wednesday on concerns over how quickly fuel demand will recover even as lockdowns ease in many countries with falling coronavirus cases, with U.S.-China tensions adding to pressure. Brent crude LCOc1 futures fell 40 cents, or...

Tokyo Stocks Open Flat

Tokyo stocks opened flat on Wednesday as profit-taking offset positive sentiment from gains on Wall Street. The benchmark Nikkei 225 index was down 0.01 percent or 3.03 points at 21,268.14 in early trade, while the broader Topix index was up 0.02...

POPULAR NEWS
Gold Falls as Potential Japan Stimulus Boosts Risk Appetite
Monday, 25 May 2020 15:13 WIB

Gold declined on Monday as Japanese equities rose on news of a potential stimulus program that boosted investors™ risk appetite, though fresh...

Gold Edges Lower, Losing Shine as Stocks Rally on Easing Lockdowns, Vaccine Hopes
Tuesday, 26 May 2020 19:20 WIB

Gold futures lost some ground Tuesday as global equities rallied in response to easing business lockdowns as the pandemic recedes and encouraging...

Gold Down Over Escalating U.S.-China Tensions
Monday, 25 May 2020 13:36 WIB

Gold was down in Asia on Monday morning, with escalating U.S.-China tensions continuing to impact demand for even the safe-haven asset. Gold...

Gold falls 1% as risk appetite firms on recovery optimism
Wednesday, 27 May 2020 01:32 WIB

Gold fell over 1% on Tuesday as major economies further eased coronavirus-linked restrictions, fuelling hopes for economic recovery and bolstering...