Wednesday, 03 June 2020
New York
Gold Prices Expected To Shine As Governments Launch Stimulus
Monday, 6 April 2020 11:10 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold CornerGold Outlook

Gold is expected to keep rising from the mid-March lows, based on the weekly Kitco gold-price survey.

The expectation comes after the Federal Reserve recently launched open-ended quantitative easing and the U.S. quickly enacted a $2 trillion fiscal-stimulus effort in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on employment. Other countries are likewise taking action to prop up the global economy and stabilize markets.

"With all of the stimulus money, interest rates at zero, loss of jobs and multiple battles on the economic front, I can't see how gold is not higher this week," said Bob Haberkorn, senior commodities broker with RJO Futures.

Further, he pointed out, gold has started to decouple from equities, thus reasserting its role as a safe haven. Since mid-March, the precious metal fell with stocks when traders had to liquidate assets generally to offset losses and cover margin calls in other markets. But there was a period last week when gold moved higher when stocks fell sharply, Haberkorn pointed out.

Twelve market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. Eleven participants, or 92%, called for higher prices this week. The other respondent (8%) said he expects sideways prices.

Meanwhile, 1,245 votes were cast in an online Main Street poll. A total of 834 voters, or 67%, looked for gold to rise in the this week. Another 235, or 19%, said lower, while 176, or 14%, were neutral.

In the last survey for the current trading week now winding down, 71% of both Wall Street and Main Street participants were bullish. As of 11:04 a.m. EDT last Friday, Comex June gold was trading down 0.6% at $1,643.50 an ounce, although the market recovered smartly from a mid-week blip lower.

"I don't see how this doesn't go higher," said Sean Lusk, co-director of commercial hedging with Walsh Trading. "We will find willing buyers on any dips given the amount of money that is being poured in [through stimulus and monetary-policy efforts]."

Lusk and Price Futures Group analyst Phil Flynn, who also voted higher, said the market is going to start anticipating inflation as a result of all of the monetary and fiscal stimulus.

"I am bullish for this week. I continue to believe that this low-interest-rate environment, coupled with the global expansion of central-bank balance sheets, will be very positive for the price of gold," said Kevin Grady, president of Phoenix Futures and Options.

Jim Wyckoff, senior technical analyst with Kitco, also said higher for this week.

"The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is trading around 0.6% last Friday, after trading above 1% week before. Declining U.S. Treasury yields last week are a sign that U.S. bond traders “ arguably the smartest traders in the world “ expect more serious markets/economic turmoil on the horizon, including suggesting that most markets have not yet fully priced in the eventual global economic toll the coronavirus sickness will exact," Wyckoff said. "This scenario is bullish for gold."

Charlie Nedoss, senior market strategist with LaSalle Futures Group, said he looks for gold to keep rising after testing and holding support at the 10- and 20-day moving averages. He also suspects the U.S. dollar will come under pressure.

"We™re [gold prices] are starting to catch our footing," Nedoss said.

Richard Baker, editor of the Eureka Miner's Report, listed a target of $1,680 in gold and $15 for silver. Gold has made three runs at $1,700 since late February but has not been able to sustain above this. Baker noted there has been on-again, off-again liquidation driven by bouts of strength in the U.S. dollar index.

"This should eventually abate as more and more stimulus measures become headwinds for the U.S. currency," Baker said. "Bullishly, the interest-rate picture has again turned favorable for gold with 10-year real rates [which are adjusted for inflation to show real yields] and the German Bund both plumbing negative 50 basis points."

Source: Kitco News

Wall St., Main St. Look for Gold to Regain its Luster...
Monday, 25 May 2020 14:32 WIB

Wall Street and Main Street look for gold prices to rise this week, according to the weekly Kitco News gold survey. Traders and analysts who make up the Wall Street poll continued to cite the mass li...

Wall St., Main St. Both Look For Gold Prices To Keep Shining...
Monday, 18 May 2020 11:17 WIB

Wall Street and Main Street alike remain bullish on gold prices for this week, according to the weekly Kitco News gold survey. Professional investors and traders cited the ongoing quantitative-easing...

Wall St., Main St. Look for Bounce in Gold Prices...
Monday, 4 May 2020 12:06 WIB

Wall Street and Main Street were both undeterred by last week™s pullback in gold, calling for the metal to rise this week, according to the weekly Kitco News gold survey. Wall Street is not as heav...

Harga emas siap untuk level $ 1.800: Pasar amati dua event minggu ini...
Monday, 27 April 2020 11:27 WIB

Strategi para pedagang emas tampaknya penurunan harga beli karena logam mulia bersiap-siap untuk menguji level tertinggi 2012, menurut analis. Lebih banyak data ekonomi yang buruk pekan lalu tampakny...

Gold-Price Sentiment Overwhelmingly Bullish...
Tuesday, 14 April 2020 08:27 WIB

Participants in the weekly Kitco gold-price survey look for the metal to maintain its upward momentum this week as central banks and governments keep rolling out measures to prop up an economy that is...

U.S. Services Sector Off 11-Year Trough

U.S. services industry activity pushed off an 11-year low in May, but businesses appeared in no rush to rehire workers as they reopen, supporting views the economy could take years to recover from the devastation caused by the COVID-19 crisis. The...

U.S. Stocks Open Higher, Aim For Fourth Day Of Gains

U.S. stocks rose at the start of trade Wednesday as investors focused on signs of a rebounding global economy and a report from payroll firm ADP, which showed far fewer private-sector job losses in May than economists were expecting. The Dow Jones...

Private Sector Shed 2.76 Million Jobs in May, ADP Says, Much Less Than Forecast

Private-sector employment shed a total of 2.76 million jobs in May, Automatic Data Processing Inc. reported Wednesday. The gain was well below forecasts from economists surveyed by Econoday who expected a loss of 8.66 million. In April, the private...

Gold Climbs As U.S. Riots Spark Safe-Haven Rush
Monday, 1 June 2020 16:00 WIB

Gold prices rose on Monday as riots in major U.S. cities rattled investors already reeling from strained China-U.S. relations and boosted demand for...

Gold edges lower as investors play down U.S.-China tensions
Monday, 1 June 2020 19:54 WIB

Gold futures traded slightly lower Monday, losing ground as equities drifted into positive territory and investors appeared to play down U.S.-China...

Gold Rises as U.S. Riots, Hong Kong Rensions Lift Safe-Haven Appeal
Monday, 1 June 2020 09:15 WIB

Gold prices climbed on Monday as reports of riots in the United States rattled investors already reeling from the deepening China-U.S. rift, fanning...

Gold futures post second straight loss
Wednesday, 3 June 2020 01:24 WIB

Gold futures on Tuesday posted a second consecutive session decline, with profit-taking and strength in global stock markets the key reasons cited...